Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
SAUPro League · Matchday 10Monday, 19 October 2026 · King Abdullah Sports City Stadium
Al-Fayha
13th · 11 pts2–3FULL TIME
Al-Ahli Jeddah
6th · 21 pts32% Al-Fayha
21% Draw
47% Al-Ahli
OUR PICK
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.63 – 2.01
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.16X4.6622.13
Goals 2.5Over1.42Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.44NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.44
GG
70%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
Al-FayhaAl-Ahli Jeddah1.3Goals per game2.5
1.7Conceded per game1.7
0.92Points per game1.91
17%Win rate64%
-4Goal difference9
5Form, last 5 (pts)12
Al-Fayha form
WDLLDH Al-Faisaly FC4–1
A Al-Hazm2–2
H Al-Ahli Jeddah2–3
A Al Khaleej Saihat2–0
H Al Riyadh1–1
Al-Ahli Jeddah form
LWWWWA Al Shabab6–1
H Al-Gharafa2–1
H Al Khaleej Saihat4–1
A Al-Fayha2–3
A Al-Wasl FC1–3
Head to head
0
Al-Fayha
1
Draw
4
Al-Ahli
Oct 2026Al-Fayha – Al-Ahli Jeddah2–3
Apr 2026Al-Fayha – Al-Ahli Jeddah1–1
Dec 2025Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al-Fayha2–0
Apr 2025Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al-Fayha5–0
Nov 2024Al-Fayha – Al-Ahli Jeddah0–1
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.63 for Al-Fayha, 2.01 for Al-Ahli Jeddah), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Fayha sit 13th on 11 points; Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.