Over 1.5 goals@1.48
Over 1.5
67%
SAUPro League · Matchday 10Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Al Fateh club stadium
Al-Fateh
16th · 6 pts2–3FULL TIME
Al Khaleej Saihat
9th · 15 pts32% Al-Fateh
28% Draw
40% Al
OUR PICK
Al Khaleej Saihat to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.48
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.25
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.17X3.5622.48
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.69
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.88
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.88
NG
53%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
Al-FatehAl Khaleej Saihat0.8Goals per game1.2
2.1Conceded per game1.6
0.50Points per game1.25
8%Win rate25%
-15Goal difference-5
3Form, last 5 (pts)10
Al-Fateh form
LLLWLA Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–0
H Al Shabab1–3
H Al Khaleej Saihat2–3
A Al-Hazm2–3
H Al-Ahli Jeddah0–4
Al Khaleej Saihat form
WLWWDH Al-Hazm4–2
A Al-Ahli Jeddah4–1
A Al-Fateh2–3
H Al-Fayha2–0
A Al-Ettifaq1–1
Head to head
3
Al-Fateh
0
Draw
2
Al
Oct 2026Al-Fateh – Al Khaleej Saihat2–3
Apr 2026Al-Fateh – Al Khaleej Saihat1–0
Dec 2025Al Khaleej Saihat – Al-Fateh0–1
Apr 2025Al Khaleej Saihat – Al-Fateh1–5
Nov 2024Al-Fateh – Al Khaleej Saihat1–2
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Al-Fateh 32%, the draw 28%, Al Khaleej Saihat 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.07 for Al-Fateh, 1.25 for Al Khaleej Saihat), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Fateh sit 16th on 6 points; Al Khaleej Saihat are 9th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.