Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
88%
SAUPro League · Matchday 8Friday, 9 October 2026 · Al Fateh club stadium
Al-Fateh
16th · 6 pts0–4FULL TIME
Al-Ahli Jeddah
6th · 21 pts23% Al-Fateh
20% Draw
57% Al-Ahli
OUR PICK
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.42 – 2.28
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.28X5.0321.76
Goals 2.5Over1.40Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.47NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.40
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.47
GG
68%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
Al-FatehAl-Ahli Jeddah0.8Goals per game2.5
2.1Conceded per game1.7
0.50Points per game1.91
8%Win rate64%
-15Goal difference9
3Form, last 5 (pts)12
Al-Fateh form
LLLWLA Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–0
H Al Shabab1–3
H Al Khaleej Saihat2–3
A Al-Hazm2–3
H Al-Ahli Jeddah0–4
Al-Ahli Jeddah form
DLWWWA Al Sadd0–0
A Al Shabab6–1
H Al-Gharafa2–1
H Al Khaleej Saihat4–1
A Al-Fayha2–3
Head to head
2
Al-Fateh
0
Draw
3
Al-Ahli
Oct 2026Al-Fateh – Al-Ahli Jeddah0–4
May 2026Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al-Fateh3–1
Dec 2025Al-Fateh – Al-Ahli Jeddah2–1
Feb 2025Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al-Fateh2–0
Aug 2024Al-Fateh – Al-Ahli Jeddah1–0
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (1.42 for Al-Fateh, 2.28 for Al-Ahli Jeddah), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Fateh sit 16th on 6 points; Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.