Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
SAUPro League · Matchday 9Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Al Majma’a Sport City
Al-Faisaly FC
15th · 10 pts3–2FULL TIME
Al Kholood
11th · 12 pts38% Al-Faisaly
23% Draw
39% Al
OUR PICK
Al Kholood to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.57
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.66
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.63X4.3422.57
Goals 2.5Over1.56Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.53NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.56
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.53
GG
65%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Al-Faisaly FCAl Kholood1.1Goals per game1.5
2.0Conceded per game2.4
0.83Points per game1.09
17%Win rate27%
-11Goal difference-9
7Form, last 5 (pts)0
Al-Faisaly FC form
LWLDWA Al-Fayha4–1
A Abha0–1
H Al-Nassr1–3
A Al Shabab2–2
H Al Kholood3–2
Al Kholood form
LLLLLA Al-Nassr5–3
H Al-Ettifaq0–3
A Al-Faisaly FC3–2
H Al-Qadisiyah FC0–5
A Al Riyadh2–0
Head to head
2
Al-Faisaly
1
Draw
2
Al
Oct 2026Al-Faisaly FC – Al Kholood3–2
Mar 2024Al-Faisaly FC – Al Kholood0–3
Nov 2023Al Kholood – Al-Faisaly FC1–0
Mar 2023Al-Faisaly FC – Al Kholood1–1
Oct 2022Al Kholood – Al-Faisaly FC0–1
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Al-Faisaly FC 38%, the draw 23%, Al Kholood 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.57 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.64 for Al-Faisaly FC, 1.66 for Al Kholood), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Faisaly FC sit 15th on 10 points; Al Kholood are 11th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.