Over 1.5 goals@1.57
Over 1.5
64%
SAUPro League · Matchday 13Thursday, 5 November 2026
Al-Faisaly FC
15th · 10 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Al Diriyah
8th · 15 pts34% Al-Faisaly
29% Draw
37% Al
OUR PICK
Al Diriyah to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.72
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.11
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.96X3.4022.72
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.58
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.58
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.77
NG
56%
Double chance@1.42
12
71%
Season stats
Al-Faisaly FCAl Diriyah1.1Goals per game0.8
2.0Conceded per game1.1
0.83Points per game1.25
17%Win rate33%
-11Goal difference-3
7Form, last 5 (pts)4
Al-Faisaly FC form
No recent matches.
Al Diriyah form
LLWDLH NEOM1–2
A Al-Ittihad FC2–0
H Al Riyadh1–0
H Al Taawon1–1
A Al-Nassr3–0
Head to head
0
Al-Faisaly
0
Draw
0
Al
These sides haven't met recently.
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Al-Faisaly FC 34%, the draw 29%, Al Diriyah 37%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.72 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.05 for Al-Faisaly FC, 1.11 for Al Diriyah), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Faisaly FC sit 15th on 10 points; Al Diriyah are 8th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.