Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
SAUPro League · Matchday 13Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium
Al-Ettifaq
7th · 19 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1st · 30 pts19% Al-Ettifaq
20% Draw
61% Al-Hilal
OUR PICK
Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win
Model probability 61% · fair odds
1.64
Expected goals
1.12 – 2.16
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.30X4.9721.64
Goals 2.5Over1.57Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.68NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.68
GG
60%
Double chance@1.23
X2
81%
Season stats
Al-EttifaqAl-Hilal Saudi FC1.5Goals per game2.9
1.4Conceded per game0.8
1.58Points per game2.73
42%Win rate91%
1Goal difference23
8Form, last 5 (pts)15
Al-Ettifaq form
DLWLWA Al Taawon1–1
A Erbil3–0
A Al Kholood0–3
H Al-Ittihad FC1–4
A NEOM0–1
Al-Hilal Saudi FC form
WLWWWH Al-Fateh2–0
A Al Shamal3–1
A Al-Qadisiyah FC2–3
H Al-Hazm1–0
A Al Sadd0–2
Head to head
0
Al-Ettifaq
1
Draw
4
Al-Hilal
Feb 2026Al-Hilal Saudi FC – Al-Ettifaq2–0
Oct 2025Al-Ettifaq – Al-Hilal Saudi FC0–5
Apr 2025Al-Ettifaq – Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–1
Nov 2024Al-Hilal Saudi FC – Al-Ettifaq3–1
Feb 2024Al-Ettifaq – Al-Hilal Saudi FC0–2
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC clear favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.12 for Al-Ettifaq, 2.16 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Ettifaq sit 7th on 19 points; Al-Hilal Saudi FC are 1st on 30.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.