Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
69%
EGYPremier League · Matchday 7Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Cairo International Stadium
Al Ahly
2nd · 20 pts3–3FULL TIME
Olympic El Qanah
13th · 8 pts67% Al
22% Draw
11% Olympic
OUR PICK
Al Ahly to win
Model probability 67% · fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
1.81 – 0.57
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.48X4.6329.07
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.74
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.57
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.74
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.57
NG
64%
Double chance@1.12
1X
89%
Season stats
Al AhlyOlympic El Qanah1.9Goals per game1.3
0.8Conceded per game1.5
2.50Points per game1.00
75%Win rate13%
9Goal difference-2
11Form, last 5 (pts)3
Al Ahly form
WWDWWA Future FC0–1
H Kitara4–0
H Olympic El Qanah3–3
A Kitara1–2
A Zamalek SC0–2
Olympic El Qanah form
LDDLLH Enppi1–3
A Al Ahly3–3
H AL Masry1–1
A Pyramids FC3–2
A Masr2–1
Head to head
0
Al
1
Draw
0
Olympic
Oct 2026Al Ahly – Olympic El Qanah3–3
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Pyramids FC8+1524
2Al Ahly8+920
3Zamalek SC8+719
4Ceramica Cleopatra8+718
5Al Ittihad8+314
6Future FC8+213
7El Mokawloon8+311
8National Bank of Egypt8011
9Smouha SC8011
10Masr8-111
Match preview
Our model makes Al Ahly clear favourites, giving them a 67% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.81 for Al Ahly, 0.57 for Olympic El Qanah), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al Ahly sit 2nd on 20 points; Olympic El Qanah are 13th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.