Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
SAUPro League · Matchday 13Thursday, 5 November 2026 · King Abdullah Sports City
Al-Ahli Jeddah
6th · 21 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Al Taawon
17th · 5 pts79% Al-Ahli
13% Draw
8% Al
OUR PICK
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win
Model probability 79% · fair odds
1.27
Expected goals
2.73 – 0.74
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.27X7.42213.14
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.96
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.96
NG
51%
Double chance@1.08
1X
92%
Season stats
Al-Ahli JeddahAl Taawon2.5Goals per game0.5
1.7Conceded per game1.7
1.91Points per game0.42
64%Win rate0%
9Goal difference-14
12Form, last 5 (pts)2
Al-Ahli Jeddah form
DLWWWA Al Sadd0–0
A Al Shabab6–1
H Al-Gharafa2–1
H Al Khaleej Saihat4–1
A Al-Fayha2–3
Al Taawon form
DWLLDH Al-Ettifaq1–1
A Al Faisaly0–2
A Al Riyadh2–1
H Al-Qadisiyah FC0–1
A Al Diriyah1–1
Head to head
5
Al-Ahli
0
Draw
0
Al
May 2026Al Taawon – Al-Ahli Jeddah1–2
Jan 2026Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al Taawon2–1
May 2025Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al Taawon2–0
Dec 2024Al Taawon – Al-Ahli Jeddah2–4
Mar 2024Al Taawon – Al-Ahli Jeddah0–1
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah clear favourites, giving them a 79% chance of winning against 13% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.27 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.73 for Al-Ahli Jeddah, 0.74 for Al Taawon), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 6th on 21 points; Al Taawon are 17th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.