Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
SAUPro League · Matchday 11Friday, 23 October 2026 · Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Sports City Stadium
Al-Ahli Jeddah
6th · 21 pts4–1FULL TIME
Al Khaleej Saihat
9th · 15 pts59% Al-Ahli
20% Draw
21% Al
OUR PICK
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.29
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.71X5.0024.67
Goals 2.5Over1.47Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.55NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.55
GG
65%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
Al-Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej Saihat2.5Goals per game1.2
1.7Conceded per game1.6
1.91Points per game1.25
64%Win rate25%
9Goal difference-5
12Form, last 5 (pts)10
Al-Ahli Jeddah form
LWWWWA Al Shabab6–1
H Al-Gharafa2–1
H Al Khaleej Saihat4–1
A Al-Fayha2–3
A Al-Wasl FC1–3
Al Khaleej Saihat form
WLWWDH Al-Hazm4–2
A Al-Ahli Jeddah4–1
A Al-Fateh2–3
H Al-Fayha2–0
A Al-Ettifaq1–1
Head to head
4
Al-Ahli
1
Draw
0
Al
Oct 2026Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al Khaleej Saihat4–1
May 2026Al Khaleej Saihat – Al-Ahli Jeddah1–4
Jan 2026Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al Khaleej Saihat4–1
Mar 2025Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al Khaleej Saihat2–2
Oct 2024Al Khaleej Saihat – Al-Ahli Jeddah0–3
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.23 for Al-Ahli Jeddah, 1.29 for Al Khaleej Saihat), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 6th on 21 points; Al Khaleej Saihat are 9th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.