Over 1.5 goals@1.67
Over 1.5
60%
BHRPremier League · Matchday 7Saturday, 31 October 2026
Al Ahli
4th · 9 pts0–0FULL TIME
East Riffa
5th · 8 pts51% Al
29% Draw
20% East
OUR PICK
Al Ahli to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.31 – 0.71
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.96X3.4724.94
Goals 2.5Over2.86Under1.49
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.59
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Under 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.59
NG
63%
Double chance@1.25
1X
80%
Season stats
Al AhliEast Riffa1.0Goals per game0.7
1.0Conceded per game1.4
1.29Points per game1.14
29%Win rate29%
0Goal difference-5
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
Al Ahli form
No recent matches.
East Riffa form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Al
0
Draw
0
East
These sides haven't met recently.
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al Riffa7+1115
2Khalidiya7+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7+514
4Al Ahli709
5East Riffa7-58
6Muharraq608
7Al Najma7-48
8Sitra6+28
9A'Ali6-37
10Al-Hidd606
Match preview
Our model makes Al Ahli clear favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.96 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.31 for Al Ahli, 0.71 for East Riffa), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al Ahli sit 4th on 9 points; East Riffa are 5th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.