Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 23Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Strawberry Arena
AIK Stockholm
8th · 38 pts5–6FULL TIME
IF Brommapojkarna
11th · 34 pts48% AIK
24% Draw
28% IF
OUR PICK
AIK Stockholm to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.07
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.24
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.07X4.2023.60
Goals 2.5Over1.77Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.72NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.77
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.72
GG
58%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
AIK StockholmIF Brommapojkarna1.6Goals per game1.4
1.7Conceded per game1.6
1.46Points per game1.26
38%Win rate33%
-3Goal difference-5
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
AIK Stockholm form
DWDLLH IF Elfsborg2–2
A Sirius1–2
H IFK Goteborg2–2
H IF Brommapojkarna5–6
A Halmstad2–1
IF Brommapojkarna form
LDWLA Vasteras SK FK1–0
H BK Hacken0–0
A Kalmar FF0–3
H Djurgardens IF0–2
Head to head
2
AIK
1
Draw
2
IF
Oct 2026AIK Stockholm – IF Brommapojkarna5–6
Apr 2026IF Brommapojkarna – AIK Stockholm2–2
Sept 2025AIK Stockholm – IF Brommapojkarna2–1
May 2025IF Brommapojkarna – AIK Stockholm0–1
Jan 2025IF Brommapojkarna – AIK Stockholm3–0
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes AIK Stockholm slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.07 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.71 for AIK Stockholm, 1.24 for IF Brommapojkarna), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
AIK Stockholm sit 8th on 38 points; IF Brommapojkarna are 11th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.