Over 1.5 goals@1.63
Over 1.5
62%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 32Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Ofelia Rosenzuaig
Agropecuario
0–0FULL TIME
Midland
27% Agropecuario
30% Draw
44% Midland
OUR PICK
Midland to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.28
Expected goals
0.87 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.77X3.3922.28
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.53
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.69
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.69
NG
59%
Double chance@1.36
X2
73%
Agropecuario form
WWLWDH Almagro2–1
A Patronato0–2
H Colegiales0–3
A Quilmes0–1
H Midland0–0
Midland form
DWLWDA Atlanta0–0
H Gimnasia Y Tiro3–0
A San Martin Tucuman3–2
H Atletico DE Rafaela4–0
A Agropecuario0–0
Head to head
0
Agropecuario
1
Draw
1
Midland
Oct 2026Agropecuario – Midland0–0
May 2026Midland – Agropecuario2–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Midland slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.28 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (0.87 for Agropecuario, 1.21 for Midland), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.