Over 1.5 goals@1.78
Over 1.5
56%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 34Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Ofelia Rosenzuaig
Agropecuario
0–3FULL TIME
Colegiales
36% Agropecuario
32% Draw
32% Colegiales
OUR PICK
Agropecuario to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.81
Expected goals
0.97 – 0.91
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.81X3.1223.09
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.41
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.59
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.41
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.59
NG
63%
Double chance@1.47
12
68%
Agropecuario form
WWLWDH Almagro2–1
A Patronato0–2
H Colegiales0–3
A Quilmes0–1
H Midland0–0
Colegiales form
DDWDWA San Martin Tucuman0–0
H Atletico DE Rafaela1–1
A Agropecuario0–3
H Tristan Suarez0–0
A Club Atlético Güemes0–1
Head to head
0
Agropecuario
1
Draw
1
Colegiales
Oct 2026Agropecuario – Colegiales0–3
May 2026Colegiales – Agropecuario0–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes35+149
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Agropecuario 36%, the draw 32%, Colegiales 32%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.81 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.97 for Agropecuario, 0.91 for Colegiales), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.