Over 1.5 goals@1.72
Over 1.5
58%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 32Sunday, 25 October 2026
Agama
15th · 31 pts3–2FULL TIME
TelOne
17th · 22 pts40% Agama
31% Draw
29% TelOne
OUR PICK
Agama to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.50
Expected goals
1.08 – 0.87
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.50X3.2223.46
Goals 2.5Over3.04Under1.45
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.45
Under 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.62
NG
62%
Double chance@1.41
1X
71%
Season stats
AgamaTelOne0.7Goals per game0.8
1.3Conceded per game1.5
0.97Points per game0.69
25%Win rate13%
-20Goal difference-24
9Form, last 5 (pts)2
Agama form
WWLLWH TelOne3–2
A Kariba0–1
H Hunters1–2
A Scotland Mabvuku3–0
H Manica Diamonds1–0
TelOne form
LLDDLA Agama3–2
H Hunters2–3
A Manica Diamonds0–0
H Ngezi Platinum2–2
A Hardrock4–1
Head to head
2
Agama
0
Draw
0
TelOne
Oct 2026Agama – TelOne3–2
May 2026TelOne – Agama0–1
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model makes Agama slight favourites, giving them a 40% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.50 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.08 for Agama, 0.87 for TelOne), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Agama sit 15th on 31 points; TelOne are 17th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.