KENFKF Premier League · Matchday 1Wednesday, 14 October 2026

AFC Leopards

3rd · 9 pts

0–0FULL TIME

Bandari

15th · 4 pts

49% AFC

36% Draw

15% Bandari

OUR PICK

AFC Leopards to win

Model probability 49% · fair odds

2.05

Expected goals

0.98 – 0.41

Confidence

Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.05X2.7826.60

Goals 2.5Over5.90Under1.20

Both scoreGG4.49NG1.27

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@2.47

Over 1.5

40%

Over/Under 2.5@1.20

Under 2.5

84%

Both teams to score@1.27

79%

Double chance@1.18

85%

Season stats

AFC LeopardsBandari

0.8Goals per game0.4

0.2Conceded per game0.6

1.80Points per game0.80

40%Win rate0%

3Goal difference-1

9Form, last 5 (pts)4

AFC Leopards form

WDDWD

H Homeboyz2–0

A Mara Sugar0–0

H Shabana0–0

A Kenya Police1–2

H Bandari0–0

Bandari form

DDLDD

A Nairobi United1–1

H Posta Rangers FC0–0

A GOR Mahia1–0

H 3K1–1

A AFC Leopards0–0

Head to head

AFC

Draw

Bandari

Oct 2026AFC Leopards – Bandari0–0

Feb 2026Bandari – AFC Leopards0–0

Oct 2025AFC Leopards – Bandari0–0

May 2025Bandari – AFC Leopards0–0

Dec 2024AFC Leopards – Bandari2–0

FKF Premier League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1GOR Mahia5+412

2KCB5+310

3AFC Leopards5+39

4Kenya Police5+18

53K5-18

6Murang'a SEAL5+27

7Tusker3+36

8Migori Youth4+26

9APS Bomet5+26

10Shabana506

Match preview

Our model makes AFC Leopards clear favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 36% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.05 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 1.4 goals in total (0.98 for AFC Leopards, 0.41 for Bandari), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

AFC Leopards sit 3rd on 9 points; Bandari are 15th on 4.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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