Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
77%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 6Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Elbasan Arena
AF Elbasani
4th · 14 pts1–1FULL TIME
Vora
6th · 12 pts54% AF
23% Draw
23% Vora
OUR PICK
AF Elbasani to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.85
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.06
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.85X4.2724.42
Goals 2.5Over1.86Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.84NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.84
GG
54%
Double chance@1.29
1X
77%
Season stats
AF ElbasaniVora1.3Goals per game1.2
1.2Conceded per game1.6
1.40Points per game1.20
30%Win rate30%
1Goal difference-4
8Form, last 5 (pts)8
AF Elbasani form
WWDLDH Laci2–1
H Partizani2–1
A Teuta Durrës0–0
A Skenderbeu Korce2–1
H Vora1–1
Vora form
DWLWDH Dinamo Tirana2–2
H Vllaznia Shkodër2–1
A Laci1–0
H Partizani4–1
A AF Elbasani1–1
Head to head
2
AF
1
Draw
2
Vora
Oct 2026AF Elbasani – Vora1–1
May 2026Vora – AF Elbasani4–2
Feb 2026AF Elbasani – Vora2–1
Dec 2025Vora – AF Elbasani0–1
Oct 2025AF Elbasani – Vora1–2
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë10+1124
2Teuta Durrës10+1020
3Dinamo Tirana10+317
4AF Elbasani10+114
5Tirana10-112
6Vora10-412
7Skenderbeu Korce10-111
8Laci10-411
9Vllaznia Shkodër10-59
10Partizani10-107
Match preview
Our model makes AF Elbasani clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.85 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.77 for AF Elbasani, 1.06 for Vora), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
AF Elbasani sit 4th on 14 points; Vora are 6th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.