Over 1.5 goals@1.47
Over 1.5
68%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Elbasan Arena
AF Elbasani
6th · 11 pts18:30KICK-OFF WAT
Laci
5th · 11 pts48% AF
27% Draw
25% Laci
OUR PICK
AF Elbasani to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.07
Expected goals
1.42 – 0.93
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.07X3.7124.05
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.72
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.85
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.85
NG
54%
Double chance@1.33
1X
75%
Season stats
AF ElbasaniLaci1.2Goals per game1.0
1.2Conceded per game1.3
1.22Points per game1.22
22%Win rate33%
0Goal difference-3
6Form, last 5 (pts)4
AF Elbasani form
WDLDDH Partizani2–1
A Teuta Durrës0–0
A Skenderbeu Korce2–1
H Vora1–1
A Tirana2–2
Laci form
DWLLWA Skenderbeu Korce1–1
H Vora1–0
A Tirana1–0
H Egnatia Rrogozhinë0–2
H Këlcyra8–2
Head to head
2
AF
2
Draw
1
Laci
Aug 2026Laci – AF Elbasani1–1
Mar 2025Laci – AF Elbasani0–1
Jan 2025AF Elbasani – Laci1–2
Nov 2024Laci – AF Elbasani1–1
Sept 2024AF Elbasani – Laci1–0
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë9+1021
2Teuta Durrës9+1120
3Dinamo Tirana9+316
4Tirana9012
5Laci9-311
6AF Elbasani9011
7Vora9-411
8Skenderbeu Korce9-110
9Vllaznia Shkodër9-58
10Partizani9-114
Match preview
Our model makes AF Elbasani slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.07 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.42 for AF Elbasani, 0.93 for Laci), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
AF Elbasani sit 6th on 11 points; Laci are 5th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.