Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 8Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Allwyn Arena
AEK Athens FC
3rd · 17 pts5–0FULL TIME
Panetolikos
10th · 9 pts79% AEK
14% Draw
7% Panetolikos
OUR PICK
AEK Athens FC to win
Model probability 79% · fair odds
1.27
Expected goals
2.61 – 0.68
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.27X7.15213.43
Goals 2.5Over1.57Under2.62
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.84
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.84
NG
54%
Double chance@1.08
1X
93%
Season stats
AEK Athens FCPanetolikos3.0Goals per game1.0
0.4Conceded per game2.0
2.43Points per game1.13
71%Win rate38%
18Goal difference-8
13Form, last 5 (pts)0
AEK Athens FC form
LLWLA Panathinaikos2–0
A PAOK3–1
H Panetolikos5–0
A Manchester City5–1
Panetolikos form
LLLLLH OFI0–1
A AEK Athens FC5–0
H Olympiakos Piraeus0–2
A Kifisia2–0
H PAOK1–3
Head to head
5
AEK
0
Draw
0
Panetolikos
Oct 2026AEK Athens FC – Panetolikos5–0
Dec 2025Panetolikos – AEK Athens FC0–5
Nov 2025AEK Athens FC – Panetolikos1–0
Sept 2025AEK Athens FC – Panetolikos2–1
Jan 2025AEK Athens FC – Panetolikos1–0
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
2Panathinaikos8+1421
3AEK Athens FC7+1817
4Aris Thessalonikis8-116
5PAOK8+515
6OFI8+113
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos8-89
Match preview
Our model makes AEK Athens FC clear favourites, giving them a 79% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.27 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (2.61 for AEK Athens FC, 0.68 for Panetolikos), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
AEK Athens FC sit 3rd on 17 points; Panetolikos are 10th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.