Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
86%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 6Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Allwyn Arena
AEK Athens FC
3rd · 17 pts3–0FULL TIME
OFI
6th · 13 pts71% AEK
17% Draw
12% OFI
OUR PICK
AEK Athens FC to win
Model probability 71% · fair odds
1.40
Expected goals
2.50 – 0.93
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.40X6.0528.32
Goals 2.5Over1.50Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.80NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.50
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.80
GG
56%
Double chance@1.14
1X
88%
Season stats
AEK Athens FCOFI3.0Goals per game1.6
0.4Conceded per game1.5
2.43Points per game1.63
71%Win rate50%
18Goal difference1
13Form, last 5 (pts)7
AEK Athens FC form
LLWLA Panathinaikos2–0
A PAOK3–1
H Panetolikos5–0
A Manchester City5–1
OFI form
WLWLLA Panetolikos0–1
A Larisa1–0
H PAOK2–1
H Bayer Leverkusen0–2
A Kalamata4–3
Head to head
3
AEK
1
Draw
1
OFI
Oct 2026AEK Athens FC – OFI3–0
Aug 2026AEK Athens FC – OFI2–2
Jan 2026AEK Athens FC – OFI0–1
Dec 2025AEK Athens FC – OFI2–1
Dec 2025AEK Athens FC – OFI2–0
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
2Panathinaikos8+1421
3AEK Athens FC7+1817
4Aris Thessalonikis8-116
5PAOK8+515
6OFI8+113
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos8-89
Match preview
Our model makes AEK Athens FC clear favourites, giving them a 71% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.40 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.50 for AEK Athens FC, 0.93 for OFI), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
AEK Athens FC sit 3rd on 17 points; OFI are 6th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.