Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 10Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Allwyn Arena
AEK Athens FC
4th · 17 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Levadiakos
11th · 6 pts81% AEK
14% Draw
5% Levadiakos
OUR PICK
AEK Athens FC to win
Model probability 81% · fair odds
1.24
Expected goals
2.28 – 0.37
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.24X6.92221.69
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG3.37NG1.38
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.38
NG
72%
Double chance@1.05
1X
95%
Season stats
AEK Athens FCLevadiakos2.6Goals per game0.3
0.6Conceded per game1.2
2.13Points per game0.67
63%Win rate11%
16Goal difference-8
10Form, last 5 (pts)5
AEK Athens FC form
LLWLA Panathinaikos2–0
A PAOK3–1
H Panetolikos5–0
A Manchester City5–1
Levadiakos form
WDDLLH Aris Thessalonikis3–0
A Asteras Tripolis0–0
H Volos NFC0–0
A Iraklis 19082–0
H Olympiakos Piraeus0–1
Head to head
4
AEK
1
Draw
0
Levadiakos
Feb 2026AEK Athens FC – Levadiakos4–0
Sept 2025Levadiakos – AEK Athens FC0–1
Dec 2024AEK Athens FC – Levadiakos1–1
Sept 2024Levadiakos – AEK Athens FC0–3
Feb 2023AEK Athens FC – Levadiakos3–0
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos9+1624
2Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
3PAOK9+618
4AEK Athens FC8+1617
5Aris Thessalonikis9-416
6OFI9+216
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos9-99
Match preview
Our model makes AEK Athens FC clear favourites, giving them a 81% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.24 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (2.28 for AEK Athens FC, 0.37 for Levadiakos), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
AEK Athens FC sit 4th on 17 points; Levadiakos are 11th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.