Over 1.5 goals@1.63
Over 1.5
61%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 7Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Agyeman Badu Stadium
Aduana Stars
4th · 16 pts1–0FULL TIME
Ashanti Gold
6th · 14 pts43% Aduana
30% Draw
27% Ashanti
OUR PICK
Aduana Stars to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.32
Expected goals
1.19 – 0.88
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.32X3.3623.68
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.52
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.69
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.52
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.69
NG
59%
Double chance@1.37
1X
73%
Season stats
Aduana StarsAshanti Gold1.0Goals per game1.3
0.6Conceded per game1.1
1.78Points per game1.56
56%Win rate44%
4Goal difference2
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
Aduana Stars form
WLWLWH Berekum Chelsea2–0
A Medeama1–0
H Ashanti Gold1–0
A Young Apostles1–0
H Swedru All Blacks2–1
Ashanti Gold form
WDLWLA Swedru All Blacks1–2
H Asante Kotoko1–1
A Aduana Stars1–0
H Samartex1–0
A Heart of Lions3–2
Head to head
3
Aduana
1
Draw
1
Ashanti
Oct 2026Aduana Stars – Ashanti Gold1–0
Apr 2022Aduana Stars – Ashanti Gold0–0
Dec 2021Ashanti Gold – Aduana Stars0–1
Jul 2021Aduana Stars – Ashanti Gold1–0
Feb 2021Ashanti Gold – Aduana Stars4–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama9+718
2Samartex9+518
3Hearts of Oak9+617
4Aduana Stars9+416
5Port City9+415
6Ashanti Gold9+214
7Swedru All Blacks9+214
8Bechem United9+113
9Asante Kotoko9013
10Basake Holy Stars9-412
Match preview
Our model makes Aduana Stars slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.32 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.19 for Aduana Stars, 0.88 for Ashanti Gold), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Aduana Stars sit 4th on 16 points; Ashanti Gold are 6th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.