Over 1.5 goals@2.04
Over 1.5
49%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 36Saturday, 31 October 2026 · La Quema Stadium
Acassuso
17th · 35 pts0–0FULL TIME
Ferro Carril Oeste
2nd · 66 pts27% Acassuso
34% Draw
39% Ferro
OUR PICK
Ferro Carril Oeste to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.58
Expected goals
0.72 – 0.93
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.72X2.9122.58
Goals 2.5Over4.10Under1.30
Both scoreGG3.04NG1.45
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.30
Under 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.45
NG
69%
Double chance@1.37
X2
73%
Season stats
AcassusoFerro Carril Oeste0.7Goals per game1.1
1.0Conceded per game0.9
0.97Points per game1.83
22%Win rate53%
-10Goal difference7
6Form, last 5 (pts)5
Acassuso form
No recent matches.
Ferro Carril Oeste form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Acassuso
0
Draw
0
Ferro
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes35+149
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Ferro Carril Oeste slight favourites, giving them a 39% chance of winning against 34% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.6 goals in total (0.72 for Acassuso, 0.93 for Ferro Carril Oeste), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Acassuso sit 17th on 35 points; Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd on 66.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.