Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
ITASerie A · Matchday 10Saturday, 31 October 2026 · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
4th · 21 pts3–1FULL TIME
Inter
2nd · 25 pts36% AC
22% Draw
42% Inter
OUR PICK
Inter to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.40
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.80
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.78X4.4722.40
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.48NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.48
GG
68%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
AC MilanInter2.1Goals per game2.6
1.2Conceded per game1.3
2.10Points per game2.50
60%Win rate80%
9Goal difference13
10Form, last 5 (pts)12
AC Milan form
No recent matches.
Inter form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
AC
0
Draw
0
Inter
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio9+1525
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4AC Milan10+921
5Como9+920
6Frosinone9+817
7Napoli9+614
8Bologna10+114
9Juventus9+114
10Torino9013
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: AC Milan 36%, the draw 22%, Inter 42%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.40 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.66 for AC Milan, 1.80 for Inter), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
AC Milan sit 4th on 21 points; Inter are 2nd on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.