Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4Thursday, 5 November 2026 · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
24th · 3 pts18:45KICK-OFF WAT
Ferencvarosi TC
4th · 9 pts26% AC
22% Draw
52% Ferencvarosi
OUR PICK
Ferencvarosi TC to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.38 – 2.00
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.78X4.6121.93
Goals 2.5Over1.52Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.55NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.52
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.55
GG
65%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
AC MilanFerencvarosi TC1.3Goals per game3.0
1.7Conceded per game1.0
1.00Points per game3.00
33%Win rate100%
-1Goal difference6
3Form, last 5 (pts)9
AC Milan form
WLWLWH Inter3–1
H Bologna2–4
A Udinese0–2
A Bournemouth3–0
H Atalanta3–2
Ferencvarosi TC form
WWWWDH Paks2–0
A Bicskei1–4
H MTK Budapest5–0
H Torreense4–1
A Kisvarda FC1–1
Head to head
0
AC
0
Draw
0
Ferencvarosi
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Europa League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
Match preview
Our model makes Ferencvarosi TC slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.93 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.38 for AC Milan, 2.00 for Ferencvarosi TC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
AC Milan sit 24th on 3 points; Ferencvarosi TC are 4th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.