Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
DENSuperliga · Matchday 12Sunday, 25 October 2026 · CASA Arena
AC Horsens
7th · 16 pts5–1FULL TIME
Sonderjyske
12th · 8 pts56% AC
20% Draw
24% Sonderjyske
OUR PICK
AC Horsens to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.79
Expected goals
2.21 – 1.40
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.79X4.9224.19
Goals 2.5Over1.43Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.49NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.43
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.49
GG
67%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
AC HorsensSonderjyske1.8Goals per game1.4
1.6Conceded per game2.4
1.23Points per game0.67
31%Win rate17%
2Goal difference-12
6Form, last 5 (pts)7
AC Horsens form
LLWDDA Viborg1–0
A Brabrand1–0
H Sonderjyske5–1
H Randers FC0–0
A Silkeborg3–3
Sonderjyske form
LWLWLA AC Horsens5–1
H Silkeborg4–0
A Aarhus3–0
H Randers FC4–2
A AB Copenhagen3–1
Head to head
0
AC
0
Draw
0
Sonderjyske
These sides haven't met recently.
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Midtjylland13+1231
2FC Copenhagen12+1426
3Viborg13+823
4Brondby13+322
5FC Nordsjaelland13+320
6Odense13-217
7AC Horsens13+216
8Aarhus13-412
9Silkeborg13-712
10Randers FC13-811
Match preview
Our model makes AC Horsens clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.79 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.21 for AC Horsens, 1.40 for Sonderjyske), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
AC Horsens sit 7th on 16 points; Sonderjyske are 12th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.