Over 1.5 goals@2.15
Over 1.5
47%
EGYPremier League · Matchday 8Saturday, 31 October 2026
Abu Qair Semad
19th · 4 pts0–1FULL TIME
Ghazl El Mehalla
17th · 7 pts33% Abu
36% Draw
31% Ghazl
OUR PICK
Draw
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.80
Expected goals
0.80 – 0.77
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.03X2.8023.20
Goals 2.5Over4.49Under1.26
Both scoreGG3.14NG1.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.26
Under 2.5
79%
Both teams to score@1.42
NG
70%
Double chance@1.45
1X
69%
Season stats
Abu Qair SemadGhazl El Mehalla0.4Goals per game0.5
1.5Conceded per game1.4
0.50Points per game0.88
13%Win rate25%
-9Goal difference-7
1Form, last 5 (pts)6
Abu Qair Semad form
LDLDLH Ghazl El Mehalla0–1
A AL Masry1–1
H Asyut Petrol1–2
A Ghazl El Mehalla1–1
A Al Ahly2–0
Ghazl El Mehalla form
WWLDLA Abu Qair Semad0–1
H Al Ittihad2–1
A Smouha SC1–0
H Abu Qair Semad1–1
H Zamalek SC0–1
Head to head
0
Abu
1
Draw
2
Ghazl
Oct 2026Abu Qair Semad – Ghazl El Mehalla0–1
Oct 2026Ghazl El Mehalla – Abu Qair Semad1–1
Oct 2023Ghazl El Mehalla – Abu Qair Semad2–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Pyramids FC8+1524
2Al Ahly8+920
3Zamalek SC8+719
4Ceramica Cleopatra8+718
5Al Ittihad8+314
6Future FC8+213
7El Mokawloon8+311
8National Bank of Egypt8011
9Smouha SC8011
10Masr8-111
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Abu Qair Semad 33%, the draw 36%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%.
Our fair price for "Draw" is 2.80 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.6 goals in total (0.80 for Abu Qair Semad, 0.77 for Ghazl El Mehalla), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Abu Qair Semad sit 19th on 4 points; Ghazl El Mehalla are 17th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.