Over 1.5 goals@2.84
Over 1.5
35%
EGYPremier League · Matchday 6Tuesday, 13 October 2026 · Borg El Arab Stadium
Abu Qair Semad
19th · 4 pts1–2FULL TIME
Asyut Petrol
18th · 6 pts29% Abu
41% Draw
29% Asyut
OUR PICK
Draw
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.43
Expected goals
0.62 – 0.62
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.40X2.4323.40
Goals 2.5Over7.26Under1.15
Both scoreGG4.49NG1.27
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.15
Under 2.5
87%
Both teams to score@1.27
NG
79%
Double chance@1.42
1X
71%
Season stats
Abu Qair SemadAsyut Petrol0.4Goals per game0.5
1.5Conceded per game1.0
0.50Points per game0.75
13%Win rate13%
-9Goal difference-4
1Form, last 5 (pts)4
Abu Qair Semad form
LDLDLH Ghazl El Mehalla0–1
A AL Masry1–1
H Asyut Petrol1–2
A Ghazl El Mehalla1–1
A Al Ahly2–0
Asyut Petrol form
DLWLLH El Gouna FC1–1
H Zamalek SC0–1
A Abu Qair Semad1–2
H Al Ahly0–5
H Future FC0–2
Head to head
2
Abu
2
Draw
1
Asyut
Oct 2026Abu Qair Semad – Asyut Petrol1–2
Jan 2026Abu Qair Semad – Asyut Petrol1–0
Aug 2025Asyut Petrol – Abu Qair Semad0–0
Apr 2025Asyut Petrol – Abu Qair Semad1–2
Dec 2024Abu Qair Semad – Asyut Petrol0–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Pyramids FC8+1524
2Al Ahly8+920
3Zamalek SC8+719
4Ceramica Cleopatra8+718
5Al Ittihad8+314
6Future FC8+213
7El Mokawloon8+311
8National Bank of Egypt8011
9Smouha SC8011
10Masr8-111
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Abu Qair Semad 29%, the draw 41%, Asyut Petrol 29%.
Our fair price for "Draw" is 2.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.2 goals in total (0.62 for Abu Qair Semad, 0.62 for Asyut Petrol), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Abu Qair Semad sit 19th on 4 points; Asyut Petrol are 18th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.