Over 1.5 goals@1.36
Over 1.5
74%
SAUPro League · Matchday 12Friday, 30 October 2026 · Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium
Abha
18th · 3 pts1–1FULL TIME
Al-Ittihad FC
4th · 24 pts14% Abha
21% Draw
65% Al-Ittihad
OUR PICK
Al-Ittihad FC to win
Model probability 65% · fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
0.73 – 1.89
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X217.28X4.6821.54
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.95
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.79
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.79
NG
56%
Double chance@1.16
X2
86%
Season stats
AbhaAl-Ittihad FC0.6Goals per game1.9
1.7Conceded per game1.0
0.27Points per game2.18
0%Win rate64%
-12Goal difference10
2Form, last 5 (pts)10
Abha form
DLLLDH Al-Ittihad FC1–1
H Al-Faisaly FC0–1
A NEOM2–0
A Al-Qadisiyah FC2–1
A Al Diriyah0–0
Al-Ittihad FC form
DWWWLA Abha1–1
A Neftchi1–2
H Al Diriyah2–0
A Al-Ettifaq1–4
H Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1–2
Head to head
1
Abha
1
Draw
3
Al-Ittihad
Oct 2026Abha – Al-Ittihad FC1–1
May 2024Abha – Al-Ittihad FC3–1
Nov 2023Al-Ittihad FC – Abha4–2
May 2023Al-Ittihad FC – Abha4–0
Dec 2022Abha – Al-Ittihad FC1–2
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Ittihad FC clear favourites, giving them a 65% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (0.73 for Abha, 1.89 for Al-Ittihad FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Abha sit 18th on 3 points; Al-Ittihad FC are 4th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.