Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
SAUPro League · Matchday 8Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium
Abha
18th · 3 pts0–1FULL TIME
Al-Faisaly FC
15th · 10 pts41% Abha
26% Draw
33% Al-Faisaly
OUR PICK
Abha to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.46
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.22
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.46X3.8023.02
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.90NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.93
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.90
GG
53%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
AbhaAl-Faisaly FC0.6Goals per game1.1
1.7Conceded per game2.0
0.27Points per game0.83
0%Win rate17%
-12Goal difference-11
2Form, last 5 (pts)7
Abha form
DLLLDH Al-Ittihad FC1–1
H Al-Faisaly FC0–1
A NEOM2–0
A Al-Qadisiyah FC2–1
A Al Diriyah0–0
Al-Faisaly FC form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Abha
0
Draw
0
Al-Faisaly
These sides haven't met recently.
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Abha 41%, the draw 26%, Al-Faisaly FC 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.38 for Abha, 1.22 for Al-Faisaly FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Abha sit 18th on 3 points; Al-Faisaly FC are 15th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.