Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
SCOPremiership · Matchday 8Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Pittodrie Stadium
Aberdeen
10th · 11 pts0–1FULL TIME
ST Johnstone
7th · 14 pts50% Aberdeen
25% Draw
26% ST
OUR PICK
Aberdeen to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.10
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.00X4.0723.92
Goals 2.5Over1.94Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.86
GG
54%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
AberdeenST Johnstone1.1Goals per game1.3
1.3Conceded per game1.6
1.00Points per game1.17
27%Win rate25%
-2Goal difference-4
4Form, last 5 (pts)6
Aberdeen form
LLLWLA Rangers1–0
H Falkirk0–1
A Dundee Utd3–2
H ST Mirren3–1
H ST Johnstone0–1
ST Johnstone form
DDLDWA Kilmarnock2–2
H Motherwell2–2
A Rangers4–0
H Dundee Utd1–1
A Aberdeen0–1
Head to head
2
Aberdeen
2
Draw
1
ST
Oct 2026Aberdeen – ST Johnstone0–1
Mar 2025ST Johnstone – Aberdeen0–0
Dec 2024Aberdeen – ST Johnstone1–1
Aug 2024ST Johnstone – Aberdeen1–2
May 2024Aberdeen – ST Johnstone1–0
Premiership table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
Match preview
Our model makes Aberdeen slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.64 for Aberdeen, 1.10 for ST Johnstone), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Aberdeen sit 10th on 11 points; ST Johnstone are 7th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.