Over 1.5 goals@1.48
Over 1.5
68%
SCOPremiership · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Pittodrie Stadium
Aberdeen
10th · 11 pts18:45KICK-OFF WAT
Hibernian
12th · 8 pts48% Aberdeen
27% Draw
25% Hibernian
OUR PICK
Aberdeen to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.07
Expected goals
1.41 – 0.92
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.07X3.6924.07
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.70
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.83
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.83
NG
55%
Double chance@1.33
1X
75%
Season stats
AberdeenHibernian1.1Goals per game1.0
1.3Conceded per game1.5
1.00Points per game0.73
27%Win rate18%
-2Goal difference-6
4Form, last 5 (pts)2
Aberdeen form
LLLWLA Rangers1–0
H Falkirk0–1
A Dundee Utd3–2
H ST Mirren3–1
H ST Johnstone0–1
Hibernian form
WDLLLA Heart Of Midlothian1–2
A ST Mirren1–1
H Celtic1–2
H Falkirk1–2
A Dundee Utd1–0
Head to head
2
Aberdeen
1
Draw
2
Hibernian
Sept 2026Hibernian – Aberdeen1–1
Apr 2026Aberdeen – Hibernian2–0
Dec 2025Hibernian – Aberdeen2–0
Oct 2025Aberdeen – Hibernian1–2
Apr 2025Aberdeen – Hibernian1–0
Premiership table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
Match preview
Our model makes Aberdeen slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.07 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.41 for Aberdeen, 0.92 for Hibernian), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Aberdeen sit 10th on 11 points; Hibernian are 12th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.