Over 1.5 goals@1.76
Over 1.5
57%
DEN1. Division · Matchday 10Friday, 9 October 2026 · Gladsaxe Stadium
AB Copenhagen
4th · 18 pts2–0FULL TIME
Aarhus Fremad
5th · 18 pts37% AB
32% Draw
32% Aarhus
OUR PICK
AB Copenhagen to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.74
Expected goals
1.00 – 0.91
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.74X3.1623.15
Goals 2.5Over3.14Under1.43
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.61
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.43
Under 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.61
NG
62%
Double chance@1.46
12
68%
Season stats
AB CopenhagenAarhus Fremad1.4Goals per game0.9
1.2Conceded per game0.8
1.38Points per game1.38
38%Win rate31%
3Goal difference1
12Form, last 5 (pts)5
AB Copenhagen form
LLWWWA FC Fredericia3–1
H Brondby1–2
H Kolding IF1–0
A HB Koge2–3
H Aarhus Fremad2–0
Aarhus Fremad form
WLDDLH Hillerød2–0
H FC Copenhagen0–3
A Vejle0–0
H Esbjerg0–0
A AB Copenhagen2–0
Head to head
3
AB
0
Draw
2
Aarhus
Oct 2026AB Copenhagen – Aarhus Fremad2–0
May 2025Aarhus Fremad – AB Copenhagen1–2
Apr 2025AB Copenhagen – Aarhus Fremad0–2
Apr 2025Aarhus Fremad – AB Copenhagen3–1
Aug 2024AB Copenhagen – Aarhus Fremad3–2
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hvidovre13+1129
2Vejle13+924
3FC Fredericia13+1223
4AB Copenhagen13+318
5Aarhus Fremad13+118
6Hobro13-716
7Kolding IF13-115
8Aalborg13-215
9Hillerød13-512
10Vendsyssel FF13-712
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: AB Copenhagen 37%, the draw 32%, Aarhus Fremad 32%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.74 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.00 for AB Copenhagen, 0.91 for Aarhus Fremad), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
AB Copenhagen sit 4th on 18 points; Aarhus Fremad are 5th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.