Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
DENSuperliga · Matchday 12Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Vejlby Stadion
Aarhus
8th · 12 pts2–1FULL TIME
Viborg
3rd · 23 pts25% Aarhus
26% Draw
49% Viborg
OUR PICK
Viborg to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.03
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.49
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.06X3.8322.03
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.80
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.93
NG
52%
Double chance@1.33
X2
75%
Season stats
AarhusViborg1.3Goals per game1.5
1.6Conceded per game0.9
0.92Points per game1.77
15%Win rate54%
-4Goal difference8
8Form, last 5 (pts)9
Aarhus form
LWWDDA Brondby2–0
A Roskilde1–2
H Viborg2–1
H Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–1
A FC Copenhagen1–1
Viborg form
WLLWLH AC Horsens1–0
A Aarhus2–1
H FC Midtjylland1–2
A Randers FC0–2
A Holstein Kiel3–1
Head to head
3
Aarhus
1
Draw
1
Viborg
Oct 2026Aarhus – Viborg2–1
Aug 2026Viborg – Aarhus2–1
Jun 2026Aarhus – Viborg1–1
May 2026Aarhus – Viborg6–2
Apr 2026Viborg – Aarhus1–2
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Midtjylland13+1231
2FC Copenhagen13+1629
3Viborg13+823
4Brondby13+322
5FC Nordsjaelland13+320
6Odense13-217
7AC Horsens13+216
8Aarhus13-412
9Silkeborg13-712
10Randers FC13-811
Match preview
Our model makes Viborg slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.03 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (0.97 for Aarhus, 1.49 for Viborg), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Aarhus sit 8th on 12 points; Viborg are 3rd on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.