Over 1.5 goals@1.47
Over 1.5
68%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Cepheus Park
Aarhus
26th · 1 pts18:45KICK-OFF WAT
SC Braga
16th · 3 pts42% Aarhus
28% Draw
30% SC
OUR PICK
Aarhus to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.37
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.05
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.37X3.6123.33
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.72
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.90
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.90
NG
53%
Double chance@1.38
12
72%
Season stats
AarhusSC Braga0.5Goals per game1.0
1.0Conceded per game1.5
0.50Points per game1.50
0%Win rate50%
-1Goal difference-1
1Form, last 5 (pts)3
Aarhus form
LWWDDA Brondby2–0
A Roskilde1–2
H Viborg2–1
H Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–1
A FC Copenhagen1–1
SC Braga form
WDLWLH Famalicao2–0
H Famalicao2–2
A Nacional1–0
H Gent2–0
H GIL Vicente1–2
Head to head
0
Aarhus
0
Draw
0
SC
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model makes Aarhus slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.37 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.30 for Aarhus, 1.05 for SC Braga), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Aarhus sit 26th on 1 points; SC Braga are 16th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.