Over 1.5 goals@1.67
Over 1.5
60%
DEN1. Division · Matchday 13Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Jysk Park
Aarhus Fremad
7th · 15 pts2–0FULL TIME
Hillerød
9th · 12 pts43% Aarhus
30% Draw
27% Hillerød
OUR PICK
Aarhus Fremad to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.34
Expected goals
1.16 – 0.86
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.34X3.3123.69
Goals 2.5Over2.86Under1.49
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.66
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Under 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.66
NG
60%
Double chance@1.37
1X
73%
Season stats
Aarhus FremadHillerød0.8Goals per game1.3
0.9Conceded per game1.5
1.25Points per game1.00
25%Win rate25%
-1Goal difference-3
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
Aarhus Fremad form
WLDDLH Hillerød2–0
H FC Copenhagen0–3
A Vejle0–0
H Esbjerg0–0
A AB Copenhagen2–0
Hillerød form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Aarhus
0
Draw
0
Hillerød
These sides haven't met recently.
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hvidovre13+1129
2FC Fredericia13+1223
3Vejle12+923
4AB Copenhagen13+318
5Hobro13-716
6Kolding IF13-115
7Aarhus Fremad12-115
8Aalborg13-215
9Hillerød12-312
10HB Koge13-611
Match preview
Our model makes Aarhus Fremad slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.16 for Aarhus Fremad, 0.86 for Hillerød), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Aarhus Fremad sit 7th on 15 points; Hillerød are 9th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.