Over 1.5 goals@1.45
Over 1.5
69%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Cepheus Park
Aarhus
26th · 1 pts1–1FULL TIME
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
20th · 2 pts38% Aarhus
28% Draw
34% Egnatia
OUR PICK
Aarhus to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.62
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.16
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.62X3.6222.92
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.76
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.95
NG
51%
Double chance@1.38
12
72%
Season stats
AarhusEgnatia Rrogozhinë0.5Goals per game1.0
1.0Conceded per game1.0
0.50Points per game1.00
0%Win rate0%
-1Goal difference0
1Form, last 5 (pts)2
Aarhus form
LWWDDA Brondby2–0
A Roskilde1–2
H Viborg2–1
H Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–1
A FC Copenhagen1–1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë form
WWLDWA Tirana1–2
H Teuta Durrës1–0
A Dinamo Tirana2–1
A Aarhus1–1
H Vllaznia Shkodër3–1
Head to head
0
Aarhus
1
Draw
0
Egnatia
Oct 2026Aarhus – Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–1
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Aarhus 38%, the draw 28%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.62 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.24 for Aarhus, 1.16 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Aarhus sit 26th on 1 points; Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 20th on 2.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.