Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
DENSuperliga · Matchday 14Sunday, 8 November 2026 · New Vejlby Stadium
Aarhus
8th · 12 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
AC Horsens
7th · 16 pts38% Aarhus
24% Draw
38% AC
OUR PICK
AC Horsens to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.62
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.59
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.62X4.2522.62
Goals 2.5Over1.62Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.58NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.58
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
AarhusAC Horsens1.3Goals per game1.8
1.6Conceded per game1.6
0.92Points per game1.23
15%Win rate31%
-4Goal difference2
8Form, last 5 (pts)6
Aarhus form
LWWDDA Brondby2–0
A Roskilde1–2
H Viborg2–1
H Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–1
A FC Copenhagen1–1
AC Horsens form
LLWDDA Viborg1–0
A Brabrand1–0
H Sonderjyske5–1
H Randers FC0–0
A Silkeborg3–3
Head to head
4
Aarhus
1
Draw
0
AC
Sept 2026AC Horsens – Aarhus2–2
Jul 2026Aarhus – AC Horsens2–0
Jul 2025Aarhus – AC Horsens2–1
Jun 2024AC Horsens – Aarhus0–3
Jul 2023Aarhus – AC Horsens2–1
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Midtjylland13+1231
2FC Copenhagen13+1629
3Viborg13+823
4Brondby13+322
5FC Nordsjaelland13+320
6Odense13-217
7AC Horsens13+216
8Aarhus13-412
9Silkeborg13-712
10Randers FC13-811
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Aarhus 38%, the draw 24%, AC Horsens 38%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.62 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.59 for Aarhus, 1.59 for AC Horsens), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Aarhus sit 8th on 12 points; AC Horsens are 7th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.