Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 25Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Color Line Stadion
Aalesund
14th · 24 pts3–4FULL TIME
Sandefjord
12th · 27 pts45% Aalesund
24% Draw
31% Sandefjord
OUR PICK
Aalesund to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.24
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.35
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.24X4.1623.18
Goals 2.5Over1.73Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.67NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.73
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.67
GG
60%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
AalesundSandefjord1.7Goals per game1.0
2.3Conceded per game1.4
0.96Points per game1.08
20%Win rate28%
-14Goal difference-8
6Form, last 5 (pts)7
Aalesund form
No recent matches.
Sandefjord form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Aalesund
0
Draw
0
Sandefjord
These sides haven't met recently.
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde24+2143
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Tromso24+940
6Lillestrom24+239
7Sarpsborg 08 FF24-531
8KFUM Oslo24-930
9Brann24+229
10Valerenga24-729
Match preview
Our model makes Aalesund slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.24 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.65 for Aalesund, 1.35 for Sandefjord), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Aalesund sit 14th on 24 points; Sandefjord are 12th on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.