Over 1.5 goals@1.52
Over 1.5
66%
BHRPremier League · Matchday 5Friday, 16 October 2026
A'Ali
9th · 7 pts0–2FULL TIME
Sitra
8th · 8 pts40% A'Ali
29% Draw
32% Sitra
OUR PICK
A'Ali to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.52
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.05
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.52X3.5023.15
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.65
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.84
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.84
NG
54%
Double chance@1.40
12
71%
Season stats
A'AliSitra1.0Goals per game1.2
1.5Conceded per game0.8
1.17Points per game1.33
33%Win rate33%
-3Goal difference2
6Form, last 5 (pts)5
A'Ali form
DWLLWH Al-Hidd0–0
A Al Najma1–2
H Sitra0–2
A East Riffa2–1
H Malkiya1–0
Sitra form
LLWLDA Muharraq4–0
H Al Riffa2–3
A A'Ali0–2
H Al Najma0–2
H Al-Hidd0–0
Head to head
0
A'Ali
2
Draw
3
Sitra
Oct 2026A'Ali – Sitra0–2
Apr 2026A'Ali – Sitra0–2
Dec 2025Sitra – A'Ali0–0
Mar 2025A'Ali – Sitra0–0
Sept 2024Sitra – A'Ali2–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al Riffa7+1115
2Khalidiya7+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7+514
4Al Ahli709
5East Riffa7-58
6Muharraq608
7Al Najma7-48
8Sitra6+28
9A'Ali6-37
10Al-Hidd606
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: A'Ali 40%, the draw 29%, Sitra 32%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.21 for A'Ali, 1.05 for Sitra), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
A'Ali sit 9th on 7 points; Sitra are 8th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.