Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
KENFKF Premier League · Matchday 3Sunday, 25 October 2026
3K
4th · 8 pts2–1FULL TIME
Murang'a SEAL
5th · 7 pts31% 3K
21% Draw
48% Murang'a
OUR PICK
Murang'a SEAL to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.08
Expected goals
1.75 – 2.18
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.18X4.8722.08
Goals 2.5Over1.33Under3.77
Both scoreGG1.36NG3.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.33
Over 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.36
GG
73%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
3KMurang'a SEAL1.4Goals per game2.2
1.6Conceded per game1.8
1.60Points per game1.40
40%Win rate40%
-1Goal difference2
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
3K form
WLWDDA Posta Rangers FC1–2
A APS Bomet3–0
H Murang'a SEAL2–1
A Bandari1–1
H Mara Sugar2–2
Murang'a SEAL form
DWLWLA APS Bomet0–0
H Nairobi United3–2
A 3K2–1
H Posta Rangers FC5–1
A GOR Mahia4–2
Head to head
1
3K
0
Draw
0
Murang'a
Oct 20263K – Murang'a SEAL2–1
FKF Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1GOR Mahia5+412
2KCB5+310
3AFC Leopards5+39
43K5-18
5Murang'a SEAL5+27
6Migori Youth4+26
7APS Bomet5+26
8Mara Sugar4+16
9Shabana4+16
10Kenya Police405
Match preview
Our model makes Murang'a SEAL slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.08 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (1.75 for 3K, 2.18 for Murang'a SEAL), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
3K sit 4th on 8 points; Murang'a SEAL are 5th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.