KENFKF Premier League · Matchday 6Saturday, 7 November 2026

3K

11th · 5 pts

14:15KICK-OFF WAT

AFC Leopards

3rd · 9 pts

23% 3K

32% Draw

45% AFC

OUR PICK

AFC Leopards to win

Model probability 45% · fair odds

2.22

Expected goals

0.69 – 1.10

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X214.37X3.1322.22

Goals 2.5Over3.49Under1.36

Both scoreGG2.86NG1.50

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.87

Over 1.5

53%

Over/Under 2.5@1.36

Under 2.5

73%

Both teams to score@1.50

67%

Double chance@1.30

77%

Season stats

3KAFC Leopards

1.3Goals per game0.8

1.8Conceded per game0.2

1.25Points per game1.80

25%Win rate40%

-2Goal difference3

5Form, last 5 (pts)9

3K form

LWDDD

A APS Bomet3–0

H Murang'a SEAL2–1

A Bandari1–1

H Mara Sugar2–2

H Migori Youth1–1

AFC Leopards form

WDDWD

H Homeboyz2–0

A Mara Sugar0–0

H Shabana0–0

A Kenya Police1–2

H Bandari0–0

Head to head

Draw

AFC

These sides haven't met recently.

FKF Premier League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1GOR Mahia5+412

2KCB5+310

3AFC Leopards5+39

4Murang'a SEAL5+27

5Migori Youth4+26

6APS Bomet5+26

7Mara Sugar4+16

8Shabana4+16

9Kenya Police405

10Mathare United405

Match preview

Our model makes AFC Leopards slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.22 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 1.8 goals in total (0.69 for 3K, 1.10 for AFC Leopards), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

3K sit 11th on 5 points; AFC Leopards are 3rd on 9.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

Discuss on Telegram More FKF Premier League tips