Over 1.5 goals@1.45
Over 1.5
69%
GERBundesliga · Matchday 9Sunday, 8 November 2026 · SNP Arena
1899 Hoffenheim
12th · 9 pts19:30KICK-OFF WAT
FC Schalke 04
17th · 6 pts51% 1899
26% Draw
23% FC
OUR PICK
1899 Hoffenheim to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.49 – 0.90
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.96X3.8124.39
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.75
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.85
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.75
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.85
NG
54%
Double chance@1.29
1X
77%
Season stats
1899 HoffenheimFC Schalke 041.8Goals per game0.5
2.0Conceded per game1.1
1.13Points per game0.75
38%Win rate13%
-2Goal difference-5
6Form, last 5 (pts)2
1899 Hoffenheim form
LDWWWA Werder Bremen2–0
A Holstein Kiel1–1
H Bayer Leverkusen3–0
H Lyon3–0
A Borussia Mönchengladbach1–2
FC Schalke 04 form
LLDLLH RB Leipzig0–2
A Dynamo Dresden2–0
A 1. FC Köln0–0
H FSV Mainz 050–1
A SC Freiburg2–1
Head to head
4
1899
0
Draw
1
FC
Apr 20231899 Hoffenheim – FC Schalke 042–0
Oct 20221899 Hoffenheim – FC Schalke 045–1
Oct 2022FC Schalke 04 – 1899 Hoffenheim0–3
May 20211899 Hoffenheim – FC Schalke 044–2
Jan 2021FC Schalke 04 – 1899 Hoffenheim4–0
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8Eintracht Frankfurt8-511
9FSV Mainz 058010
10FC Augsburg8+39
Match preview
Our model makes 1899 Hoffenheim slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.96 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.49 for 1899 Hoffenheim, 0.90 for FC Schalke 04), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
1899 Hoffenheim sit 12th on 9 points; FC Schalke 04 are 17th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.