Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Prezero Arena
1899 Hoffenheim
23rd · 3 pts2–3FULL TIME
Beşiktaş
8th · 7 pts40% 1899
23% Draw
37% Beşiktaş
OUR PICK
1899 Hoffenheim to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.48
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.60
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.48X4.3422.73
Goals 2.5Over1.57Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.54NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.54
GG
65%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
1899 HoffenheimBeşiktaş1.7Goals per game3.0
1.7Conceded per game1.7
1.00Points per game2.33
33%Win rate67%
0Goal difference4
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
1899 Hoffenheim form
LDWWWA Werder Bremen2–0
A Holstein Kiel1–1
H Bayer Leverkusen3–0
H Lyon3–0
A Borussia Mönchengladbach1–2
Beşiktaş form
DWDLWA Kasımpaşa2–2
H Başakşehir2–0
H Crystal Palace2–2
A Trabzonspor2–0
A 1899 Hoffenheim2–3
Head to head
0
1899
0
Draw
1
Beşiktaş
Oct 20261899 Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş2–3
UEFA Europa League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: 1899 Hoffenheim 40%, the draw 23%, Beşiktaş 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.69 for 1899 Hoffenheim, 1.60 for Beşiktaş), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
1899 Hoffenheim sit 23rd on 3 points; Beşiktaş are 8th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.