Over 1.5 goals@1.08
Over 1.5
93%
GERBundesliga · Matchday 7Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Prezero Arena
1899 Hoffenheim
11th · 9 pts3–0FULL TIME
Bayer Leverkusen
6th · 13 pts31% 1899
19% Draw
50% Bayer
OUR PICK
Bayer Leverkusen to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.01
Expected goals
1.90 – 2.42
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.25X5.1622.01
Goals 2.5Over1.24Under4.72
Both scoreGG1.29NG4.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.24
Over 2.5
80%
Both teams to score@1.29
GG
77%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
Season stats
1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen1.8Goals per game2.3
2.0Conceded per game2.0
1.13Points per game1.63
38%Win rate50%
-2Goal difference2
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
1899 Hoffenheim form
LDWWWA Werder Bremen2–0
A Holstein Kiel1–1
H Bayer Leverkusen3–0
H Lyon3–0
A Borussia Mönchengladbach1–2
Bayer Leverkusen form
LWLWWH VfB Stuttgart2–4
H 1. FC Nürnberg5–2
A 1899 Hoffenheim3–0
A OFI0–2
H SC Freiburg2–1
Head to head
3
1899
0
Draw
2
Bayer
Oct 20261899 Hoffenheim – Bayer Leverkusen3–0
Jan 20261899 Hoffenheim – Bayer Leverkusen1–0
Aug 2025Bayer Leverkusen – 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
Feb 2025Bayer Leverkusen – 1899 Hoffenheim3–1
Sept 20241899 Hoffenheim – Bayer Leverkusen1–4
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8FSV Mainz 058010
9FC Augsburg8+39
10VfB Stuttgart8-19
Match preview
Our model makes Bayer Leverkusen slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.01 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.3 goals in total (1.90 for 1899 Hoffenheim, 2.42 for Bayer Leverkusen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
1899 Hoffenheim sit 11th on 9 points; Bayer Leverkusen are 6th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.