Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
89%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Max-Morlock-Stadion
1. FC Nürnberg
2nd · 21 pts13:00KICK-OFF WAT
SV Darmstadt 98
16th · 9 pts78% 1.
13% Draw
9% SV
OUR PICK
1. FC Nürnberg to win
Model probability 78% · fair odds
1.28
Expected goals
2.86 – 0.87
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.28X7.46211.61
Goals 2.5Over1.39Under3.37
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.39
Over 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.09
1X
91%
Season stats
1. FC NürnbergSV Darmstadt 982.4Goals per game0.9
1.3Conceded per game1.9
2.10Points per game0.90
60%Win rate20%
11Goal difference-10
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
1. FC Nürnberg form
WLLDDA FC St. Pauli1–3
A Bayer Leverkusen5–2
H 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–1
A Energie Cottbus1–1
H VfL Wolfsburg4–4
SV Darmstadt 98 form
DWDLWH 1. FC Magdeburg1–1
A SV Elversberg0–2
H FC St. Pauli0–0
A Karlsruher SC4–0
H Energie Cottbus3–1
Head to head
1
1.
1
Draw
3
SV
Jan 2026SV Darmstadt 98 – 1. FC Nürnberg2–0
Aug 20251. FC Nürnberg – SV Darmstadt 980–1
Jan 20251. FC Nürnberg – SV Darmstadt 981–0
Aug 2024SV Darmstadt 98 – 1. FC Nürnberg1–1
Mar 2023FC Nurnberg – SV Darmstadt 980–1
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model makes 1. FC Nürnberg clear favourites, giving them a 78% chance of winning against 13% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.28 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (2.86 for 1. FC Nürnberg, 0.87 for SV Darmstadt 98), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
1. FC Nürnberg sit 2nd on 21 points; SV Darmstadt 98 are 16th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.