Over 1.5 goals@1.36
Over 1.5
73%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 9Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Max-Morlock-Stadion
1. FC Nürnberg
2nd · 21 pts0–1FULL TIME
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4th · 18 pts57% 1.
24% Draw
19% 1.
OUR PICK
1. FC Nürnberg to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.72 – 0.89
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.76X4.2125.18
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.94
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.94
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.94
NG
52%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Season stats
1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Kaiserslautern2.4Goals per game0.9
1.3Conceded per game0.7
2.10Points per game1.80
60%Win rate50%
11Goal difference2
8Form, last 5 (pts)10
1. FC Nürnberg form
WLLDDA FC St. Pauli1–3
A Bayer Leverkusen5–2
H 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–1
A Energie Cottbus1–1
H VfL Wolfsburg4–4
1. FC Kaiserslautern form
LWWWDH Hertha BSC0–3
A Hannover 960–2
A 1. FC Nürnberg0–1
H VfL Bochum2–0
A 1. FC Heidenheim0–0
Head to head
2
1.
2
Draw
1
1.
Oct 20261. FC Nürnberg – 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–1
Mar 20261. FC Nürnberg – 1. FC Kaiserslautern3–0
Oct 20251. FC Kaiserslautern – 1. FC Nürnberg1–1
Apr 20251. FC Kaiserslautern – 1. FC Nürnberg1–2
Nov 20241. FC Nürnberg – 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–0
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model makes 1. FC Nürnberg clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.72 for 1. FC Nürnberg, 0.89 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
1. FC Nürnberg sit 2nd on 21 points; 1. FC Kaiserslautern are 4th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.