Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 9Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Avnet Arena
1. FC Magdeburg
5th · 17 pts6–1FULL TIME
Karlsruher SC
13th · 11 pts56% 1.
22% Draw
22% Karlsruher
OUR PICK
1. FC Magdeburg to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.78
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.14
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.78X4.5624.56
Goals 2.5Over1.68Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.68
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
58%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
1. FC MagdeburgKarlsruher SC2.1Goals per game1.3
1.3Conceded per game2.1
1.70Points per game1.10
50%Win rate30%
8Goal difference-8
8Form, last 5 (pts)6
1. FC Magdeburg form
DLWLWA SV Darmstadt 981–1
A Bayern München6–1
H Karlsruher SC6–1
A Dynamo Dresden2–0
H Hannover 963–0
Karlsruher SC form
WLLWLH 1. FC Heidenheim2–1
A Borussia Mönchengladbach2–0
A 1. FC Magdeburg6–1
H SV Darmstadt 984–0
A FC St. Pauli2–0
Head to head
1
1.
1
Draw
3
Karlsruher
Oct 20261. FC Magdeburg – Karlsruher SC6–1
Mar 20261. FC Magdeburg – Karlsruher SC1–3
Sept 2025Karlsruher SC – 1. FC Magdeburg1–0
Feb 2025Karlsruher SC – 1. FC Magdeburg3–1
Sept 20241. FC Magdeburg – Karlsruher SC2–2
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model makes 1. FC Magdeburg clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.95 for 1. FC Magdeburg, 1.14 for Karlsruher SC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
1. FC Magdeburg sit 5th on 17 points; Karlsruher SC are 13th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.