Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 7Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Avnet Arena
1. FC Magdeburg
5th · 17 pts3–0FULL TIME
Hannover 96
12th · 11 pts59% 1.
21% Draw
20% Hannover
OUR PICK
1. FC Magdeburg to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.69
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.07
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.69X4.7025.09
Goals 2.5Over1.68Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.76NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.68
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.76
GG
57%
Double chance@1.24
1X
80%
Season stats
1. FC MagdeburgHannover 962.1Goals per game1.0
1.3Conceded per game1.6
1.70Points per game1.10
50%Win rate30%
8Goal difference-6
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
1. FC Magdeburg form
DLWLWA SV Darmstadt 981–1
A Bayern München6–1
H Karlsruher SC6–1
A Dynamo Dresden2–0
H Hannover 963–0
Hannover 96 form
WLLDLH Dynamo Dresden2–1
H 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–2
A Eintracht Braunschweig2–0
H FC St. Pauli1–1
A 1. FC Magdeburg3–0
Head to head
2
1.
1
Draw
2
Hannover
Oct 20261. FC Magdeburg – Hannover 963–0
Jan 20261. FC Magdeburg – Hannover 961–2
Aug 2025Hannover 96 – 1. FC Magdeburg3–1
Mar 2025Hannover 96 – 1. FC Magdeburg0–0
Jan 2025Hannover 96 – 1. FC Magdeburg0–3
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model makes 1. FC Magdeburg clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.69 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (2.01 for 1. FC Magdeburg, 1.07 for Hannover 96), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
1. FC Magdeburg sit 5th on 17 points; Hannover 96 are 12th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.