Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 11Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Avnet-Arena
1. FC Magdeburg
5th · 17 pts13:30KICK-OFF WAT
FC St. Pauli
8th · 12 pts56% 1.
23% Draw
21% FC
OUR PICK
1. FC Magdeburg to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.78
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.04
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.78X4.4124.75
Goals 2.5Over1.81Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.84NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.84
GG
54%
Double chance@1.27
1X
79%
Season stats
1. FC MagdeburgFC St. Pauli2.1Goals per game1.2
1.3Conceded per game1.2
1.70Points per game1.20
50%Win rate20%
8Goal difference0
8Form, last 5 (pts)6
1. FC Magdeburg form
DLWLWA SV Darmstadt 981–1
A Bayern München6–1
H Karlsruher SC6–1
A Dynamo Dresden2–0
H Hannover 963–0
FC St. Pauli form
LDDWDH 1. FC Nürnberg1–3
A SV Darmstadt 980–0
A Hannover 961–1
H Karlsruher SC2–0
H Borussia Mönchengladbach1–1
Head to head
1
1.
1
Draw
3
FC
Feb 2024FC Magdeburg – FC St. Pauli1–0
Aug 2023FC St. Pauli – FC Magdeburg0–0
Feb 2023FC Magdeburg – FC St. Pauli1–2
Aug 2022FC St. Pauli – FC Magdeburg3–0
Aug 2021FC Magdeburg – FC St. Pauli2–3
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model makes 1. FC Magdeburg clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.85 for 1. FC Magdeburg, 1.04 for FC St. Pauli), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
1. FC Magdeburg sit 5th on 17 points; FC St. Pauli are 8th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.