Over 1.5 goals@2.26
Over 1.5
44%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 8Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Fritz-Walter-Stadion
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4th · 18 pts2–0FULL TIME
VfL Bochum
11th · 11 pts38% 1.
36% Draw
25% VfL
OUR PICK
1. FC Kaiserslautern to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.62
Expected goals
0.86 – 0.64
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.62X2.7523.94
Goals 2.5Over4.97Under1.24
Both scoreGG3.49NG1.37
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.24
Under 2.5
81%
Both teams to score@1.37
NG
73%
Double chance@1.34
1X
75%
Season stats
1. FC KaiserslauternVfL Bochum0.9Goals per game0.8
0.7Conceded per game1.1
1.80Points per game1.10
50%Win rate30%
2Goal difference-3
10Form, last 5 (pts)4
1. FC Kaiserslautern form
LWWWDH Hertha BSC0–3
A Hannover 960–2
A 1. FC Nürnberg0–1
H VfL Bochum2–0
A 1. FC Heidenheim0–0
VfL Bochum form
WWDLLA Energie Cottbus1–2
H FSV Mainz 052–0
H VfL Wolfsburg1–1
A 1. FC Kaiserslautern2–0
H Arminia Bielefeld0–1
Head to head
2
1.
1
Draw
2
VfL
Oct 20261. FC Kaiserslautern – VfL Bochum2–0
Mar 2026VfL Bochum – 1. FC Kaiserslautern3–2
Oct 20251. FC Kaiserslautern – VfL Bochum3–2
Apr 2018Vfl Bochum – FC Kaiserslautern3–2
Nov 2017FC Kaiserslautern – Vfl Bochum0–0
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model makes 1. FC Kaiserslautern slight favourites, giving them a 38% chance of winning against 36% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.62 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.5 goals in total (0.86 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 0.64 for VfL Bochum), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 4th on 18 points; VfL Bochum are 11th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.